The recent announcements of melamine plant closures in Europe and Asia will
definitely have an impact on the global supply and demand balance. Investments
are needed in the future to meet the increased demand, which remains healthy.
Leon Halders, Vice President Marketing and Sales for DSM Melamine, comments
that the realized price increases for melamine achieved in Q1 have been
disappointing. Very much so since upstream feedstocks like ammonia and urea
reached all time high price records during the last couple of months. “
We need to bring 2007 prices up by at least 150$/Euros per ton, over 2006
prices, in order to come back to a sustainable business”. So further price
increases can be expected in all the regions. Demand for melamine continues to
grow well above GDP levels, whereas supply is shrinking. Major volumes will
have to be shipped across the globe in order to fulfill regional demand. This
is especially the case in the USA where a sizeable amount of melamine has to
be imported from Asia and Europe. The existing price levels do not yet reflect
this situation and Mr. Linn Yeager, the newly appointed President of DSM
Melamine Americas, believes that a price increase for Q2 of 5 cents/pound is
realistic. “Also in Europe and APAC, we will go for considerable
price increases,” says Leon Halders. “We realize that the desired levels are
difficult to reach in one shot, but until the target is reached the pressure
will remain on.”